Five pages about how likely things are, made to be read aloud: each page has pictures and only a few words, and children circle a word, a color or a picture. Page 1 shows eight everyday events, such as the sun coming up in the morning or an elephant fitting in a backpack, to circle likely or unlikely. Page 2 has four spinners, where children circle the color the arrow is more likely to land on, and four bags of fruit, where they circle the fruit they are less likely to pick. Page 3 asks whether picking a fruit from a bag or spinning a color is impossible, possible or certain. Page 4 asks whether events happen never, sometimes or always, with bags, a spinner, a number cube and pictures. Page 5 asks which of two bags or spinners is better for getting what you want, then has children color counters red or blue so a sentence is true, such as "Red is more likely than blue."
Read each event or question aloud and let children talk with a partner before they circle. Bring a real bag with five red cubes and one blue cube: ask which color is more likely, then let a few children pick without looking and keep a tally on the board. Empty the bag and fill it with only blue cubes: is red impossible now? Is blue certain? On page 5, have children explain their coloring to a partner.
Talk about likely and unlikely things during the day: will we eat dinner tonight? Will a dog drive the car? Put socks of two colors in a bag, more of one color than the other, and ask which color your child is more likely to pull out before they try. Make it impossible, then certain, by changing what is in the bag.
This pack supports the following Common Core State Standards for Mathematics:
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How likely everyday events, spins and picks from a bag are, told with pictures and very few words. Students circle likely or unlikely, more or less likely, impossible, possible or certain, and never, sometimes or always, then choose the best bag and color one to fit.
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